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Thread: 2011 First Quarter Plays

  1. #1971
    Senior Member Lucifer is a splendid one to behold Lucifer is a splendid one to behold Lucifer is a splendid one to behold Lucifer is a splendid one to behold Lucifer is a splendid one to behold Lucifer is a splendid one to behold Lucifer is a splendid one to behold Lucifer is a splendid one to behold Lucifer's Avatar
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    Recent transactions:

    Sold - all JAZZ shares
    Sold - Jazz Aug $7.5 Calls (to close)
    Kept - Jazz Aug $10 Calls and Jazz Sept $12.50 Calls
    Watching - Jazz Sept $7.5 Puts (to open)

    When the music stops, where is the money from Jazz going to? HGSI? SVNT? CPIX?

    Bought - AVNR & BIOD
    Added - ALXA

    GLTA, L.

    Last edited by Lucifer; 08-12-2010 at 03:29 PM.

  2. #1972
    Senior Member globalequitygroup has much to be proud of globalequitygroup has much to be proud of globalequitygroup has much to be proud of globalequitygroup has much to be proud of globalequitygroup has much to be proud of globalequitygroup has much to be proud of globalequitygroup has much to be proud of globalequitygroup has much to be proud of globalequitygroup has much to be proud of globalequitygroup's Avatar
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    SECURITIES AND EXCHANGE COMMISSION
    Washington, D.C. 20549


    FORM S-8
    REGISTRATION STATEMENT
    UNDER
    THE SECURITIES ACT OF 1933


    JAZZ PHARMACEUTICALS, INC.
    (Exact name of registrant as specified in its charter)




    Delaware05-0563787
    (State or other jurisdiction of

    incorporation or organization)
    (I.R.S. Employer
    Identification No.)

    3180 Porter Drive
    Palo Alto, CA 94304
    (650) 496-3777
    (Address of principal executive offices)


    Amended and Restated Directors Deferred Compensation Plan
    (Full title of the plan)


    Bruce C. Cozadd
    Chairman and Chief Executive Officer
    Jazz Pharmaceuticals, Inc.
    3180 Porter Drive
    Palo Alto, CA 94304
    (650) 496-3777
    (Name, address, including zip code, and telephone number, including area code, of agent for service)


    Copies to:

    Suzanne Sawochka Hooper, Esq.
    Chadwick Mills, Esq.
    Cooley LLP
    Five Palo Alto Square
    3000 El Camino Real
    Palo Alto, CA 94306-2155
    (650) 843-5000
    Carol A. Gamble, Esq.
    Philip J. Honerkamp, Esq.
    Jazz Pharmaceuticals, Inc.
    3180 Porter Drive
    Palo Alto, CA 94304
    (650) 496-3777



    Indicate by check mark whether the registrant is a large accelerated filer, an accelerated filer, a non-accelerated filer, or a smaller reporting company. See the definitions of “large accelerated filer,” accelerated filer” and “smaller reporting company” in Rule 12b-2 of the Exchange Act.

    Large accelerated filer¨Accelerated filer¨Non-accelerated filer¨ (Do not check if a smaller reporting company)Smaller reporting companyx



    CALCULATION OF REGISTRATION FEE


    Title of Securities to be Registered
    Amount

    to be
    Registered(1)
    Proposed
    Maximum
    Offering Price Per
    Share(2)
    Proposed
    Maximum
    Aggregate
    Offering Price(2)
    Amount of
    Registration FeeCommon Stock, par value $0.0001 per share
    200,000 shares $9.36

  3. #1973
    Member bio_tech is just really nice bio_tech is just really nice bio_tech is just really nice bio_tech is just really nice
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    Arena may not have met FDA heart valve safety criteria, says Jefferies
    After reviewing the FDA panel documents for Arena Pharma's (ARNA) lorcaserin, Jefferies believes the drug did not meet the FDA's heart valve safety criteria. The firm thinks the FDA will favor its analysis methodology when evaluating the drug and lowered its price target for shares to $5 from $6 while keeping a Hold rating.

  4. #1974
    Senior Member erlik is a glorious beacon of light erlik is a glorious beacon of light erlik is a glorious beacon of light erlik is a glorious beacon of light erlik is a glorious beacon of light erlik's Avatar
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    The JAZZ dilution is nothing much: 200,000 shares are less than 0.7% of dilution. What I am afraid of is people seeing dilution and selling in panic without looking at the number of shares. This may mean that I have to wait until monday or tuesday to sell the "run-up" portion of my shares...

    It is probably also time to think what I'll invest in in September beside the ARNA panel. ALKS and SVNT are good potential option plays and CPIX is a fairly safe "shares" play (lot of cash but with limited upside potential).

  5. #1975
    Senior Member newguy is a glorious beacon of light newguy is a glorious beacon of light newguy is a glorious beacon of light newguy is a glorious beacon of light newguy's Avatar
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    Have the ARNA panel documents been published?

  6. #1976
    Senior Member globalequitygroup has much to be proud of globalequitygroup has much to be proud of globalequitygroup has much to be proud of globalequitygroup has much to be proud of globalequitygroup has much to be proud of globalequitygroup has much to be proud of globalequitygroup has much to be proud of globalequitygroup has much to be proud of globalequitygroup has much to be proud of globalequitygroup's Avatar
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    Quote Originally Posted by bio_tech View Post
    Arena may not have met FDA heart valve safety criteria, says Jefferies
    After reviewing the FDA panel documents for Arena Pharma's (ARNA) lorcaserin, Jefferies believes the drug did not meet the FDA's heart valve safety criteria. The firm thinks the FDA will favor its analysis methodology when evaluating the drug and lowered its price target for shares to $5 from $6 while keeping a Hold rating.
    As I mentioned in my analysis, the Lorcaserin arm of the trial experienced such a low incidence of Cardiac Vulvopathy, that it weakened the strength of their data. The FDA said they should have had a certain number of cases based on its trial size, but they had far fewer, thus weakening the statistical strength of the data. I see it as a positive, but then again I am not a statistician or doctor. All I see is that there was hardly any incidence of Vulvopathy. At any rate, I was not aware the data had been released already, this far ahead of the panel. I have seen no other downgrades from other analysts who must have access to the same data. And As I have said numerous times...I could care less what an analyst says. Jeffries...aren't these the same guys that downgraded Vivus ahead of the Qnexa Panel on June 16th over concern about the Avandia panel being the day before,...sending the stock into the toillet, then upgraded Vivus to a "buy" a day or two ahead of the panel? They seem to lack conviction in their calls from my perspective. And this is the same analyst..Mr Wei.

    Whatever the case...Lorcaserin is not a slam dunk as everyone seems to think it is, but it has the best odds in my personal opinion, and until I see a reason more significant than a Jeffries "lack of conviction one way or the other" downgrade I am going to hold firm.

    Could I be dead wrong an overconfident and get absolutley mauled and demoralized by this conviction? Of Course.

    But that is my position on Lorcaserin. My research gives me the confidence to hold as this was an issue that I had already prepared myself for. Thus why your research should be just as thorough, so that you can hold steady on your trade when the waters get choppy and take your emotions out of the equation.

    GEG.

  7. #1977
    Senior Member Spunk is a splendid one to behold Spunk is a splendid one to behold Spunk is a splendid one to behold Spunk is a splendid one to behold Spunk is a splendid one to behold Spunk is a splendid one to behold Spunk is a splendid one to behold Spunk is a splendid one to behold Spunk's Avatar
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    Quote Originally Posted by globalequitygroup View Post
    As I mentioned in my analysis, the Lorcaserin arm of the trial experienced such a low incidence of Cardiac Vulvopathy, that it weakened the strength of their data. The FDA said they should have had a certain number of cases based on its trial size, but they had far fewer, thus weakening the statistical strength of the data. I see it as a positive, but then again I am not a statistician or doctor. All I see is that there was hardly any incidence of Vulvopathy. At any rate, I was not aware the data had been released already, this far ahead of the panel. I have seen no other downgrades from other analysts who must have access to the same data. And As I have said numerous times...I could care less what an analyst says. Jeffries...aren't these the same guys that downgraded Vivus ahead of the Qnexa Panel on June 16th over concern about the Avandia panel being the day before,...sending the stock into the toillet, then upgraded Vivus to a "buy" a day or two ahead of the panel? They seem to lack conviction in their calls from my perspective. And this is the same analyst..Mr Wei.

    Whatever the case...Lorcaserin is not a slam dunk as everyone seems to think it is, but it has the best odds in my personal opinion, and until I see a reason more significant than a Jeffries "lack of conviction one way or the other" downgrade I am going to hold firm.

    Could I be dead wrong an overconfident and get absolutley mauled and demoralized by this conviction? Of Course.

    But that is my position on Lorcaserin. My research gives me the confidence to hold as this was an issue that I had already prepared myself for. Thus why your research should be just as thorough, so that you can hold steady on your trade when the waters get choppy and take your emotions out of the equation.

    GEG.

    The safest approach would be to wait until the panel documents are out, if you see anything on valvupathy sell, I have learnt its one thing to be convicted its another thing when you know that all it takes is one overly safe panelist to sway votes away....The docs woul tell the tale as of now this stock is being raped by this analyst
    Cheers,

    Spunk

  8. #1978
    Member bio_tech is just really nice bio_tech is just really nice bio_tech is just really nice bio_tech is just really nice
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    For those who are in Jazz:

    Jefferies sees a target of $13 on shares of Jazz Pharmaceuticals, Inc. (NASDAQ: JAZZ) if the FDA approves its fibromyalgia drug.

    In the report Jefferies & Co. writes, "Jazz's JZP-6 (Xyrem for fibromyalgia) will face a joint Arthritis and Drug Safety & Risk Management AdCom meeting Aug. 20 (briefing docs should be out Aug.18). JZP-6 has unambiguously solid efficacy, so we expect the panel to focus on safety and potential risks of misuse/abuse given the potentially much larger fibromyalgia patient base (vs. the current niche narcolepsy indication). Jazz has the advantage of having data from 8 years of experience with Xyrem in narcolepsy under the existing austere REMS program. Post-marketing reported AE's are low and benign, and the current REMS has yielded impressive results. A Jazz sponsored peer-reviewed study (data through Mar'08) showed that of ~26,000 treated patients worldwide and ~600,000 bottles shipped, there
    were only 5 cases of diversion and a combined 47 cases (<0.2%) of either accidents, abuse/dependence, overdose, etc. Ultimately, the outcome may boil down to the composition of the panel. If it's loaded with safety folks that don't understand fibro, it could be tough, but assuming a balanced review we see 65% chance of a
    positive result (stock upside to $13) and 35% chance of negative result (downside to $7)."

    I am in Jazz and planning to get out next week before the panel. Good luck to everyone..

  9. #1979
    Senior Member Lucifer is a splendid one to behold Lucifer is a splendid one to behold Lucifer is a splendid one to behold Lucifer is a splendid one to behold Lucifer is a splendid one to behold Lucifer is a splendid one to behold Lucifer is a splendid one to behold Lucifer is a splendid one to behold Lucifer's Avatar
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    Looks like JAZZ money is rotating to CPIX, interesting...
    Kept - JAZZ Sept $12.50 Calls
    Opened - JAZZ Sept $7.5 Puts
    Closed - JAZZ Aug $10 Calls
    Okay the stage is set for the panel, let the music begin!

    Also it Looks like there are some weak hands holding ARNA...excellent!
    Have a great Friday the 13th everyone, L.

  10. #1980
    Senior Member globalequitygroup has much to be proud of globalequitygroup has much to be proud of globalequitygroup has much to be proud of globalequitygroup has much to be proud of globalequitygroup has much to be proud of globalequitygroup has much to be proud of globalequitygroup has much to be proud of globalequitygroup has much to be proud of globalequitygroup has much to be proud of globalequitygroup's Avatar
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    Arena

    Good Read.

    GEG.

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